Learn To Trade the Breakout (Part I)
August 6, 2009 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Experts
A breakout typically occurs when the currency price moves beyond the period of consolidation or range trading. Who doesnt want to reap massive profits from a big price move in a short time? This is what breakout trading can provide you.
A breakout occurs when the price moves above or below a support or resistance level whether temporarily or permanently. There are times when trading the breakout can be very profitable even though breakouts are known to be technically unstable.
You will have to take into account many market factors including both the technical and the fundamental analysis in order to trade breakouts with a higher probability of success.
Both stocks and futures are traded on a centralized exchange. At the end of the day the traders can find out the volume of each security that had been traded during the day. The volume information is easily available for stocks and futures. Information about volume is critical to trading the breakout.
However, volume data is not available for forex markets due to its OTC nature. Being decentralized, this data cannot be collected. Lack of forex volume data is a huge disadvantage to forex traders. Volume reveals where the market is positioned or positioning.
Breakout signals a change in the underlying supply and demand conditions possibly triggered by a change in market sentiments. When the price attempts a breakout of a significant support or resistance level, this change is caused by some new markets fundamentals. Successful breakouts are generally accompanied by a rise in volume. Volume is a very important criterion for any breakout trading strategy.
Price breakouts can be of two types: 1) Continuation Breakouts and 2) Reversal Breakouts. Successful breakouts must be accompanied with a strong surge of momentum in the direction of the breakout in order to be sustainable. Poor momentum will generally lead to the fizzling out of the breakout and continuation of the existing trend.
Continuation Breakout: The price action climbs higher in continuation of an uptrend or falls further lower in a downtrend in a continuation breakout. The breakout occurs after a period of consolidation. The buyers and sellers of the currency pair try to regroup and think about the next price move. Currency prices break out of an established price level to again resume the underlying trend.
Reversal Breakout: Reversal breakout means a new trend in the opposite direction. It is caused by new market fundamentals. A breakout my lead to a trend reversal and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction!
The prices may break the support or resistance but then retreat back into the previous price zone. A false breakout can always occur. There are many times when the price action does not move in a straightforward direction in the markets.
If they have placed their stops just above or below the resistance or support levels, stopping out most of the breakout traders! The worst kind of a breakout is the whipsaw type.
Mail this postSwing Trading Explained (Part II)
August 1, 2009 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Experts
In case of currency trading, the cost of trading is hidden in the bid/ask spreads offered by the broker. Day traders often rake up major commissions charges if they are trading stocks which makes it that much more difficult to beat the overall market. In the end, if you are unable to breakeven, you cannot survive long in day trading. So the more you day trade, the higher your trading cost will become.
Swing trading also entails facing stiff trading costs in the shape of spread in case of currencies or commissions if you are trading stocks. But these trading costs are nothing as severe as in day trading. Because price action spans several days to several weeks, market fundamentals can come into play to a larger degree as compared to day trading.
The holding period is longer in swing trading than in day trading. Swing trading can also generate higher potential profits on single trades. Day to day currency movements are due less to market fundamentals and more to short term supply and demand of currencies or shares.
There is a misconception that day trading can be taken as a hobby. Day trading demands lots of attention and time commitment from you. It is stressful and a winning position can turn into a losing one within seconds. You have to have strong nerves, if you want to permanently take on day trading.
Swing trading currency markets can be very profitable. Currency markets are open 24/5. You can enter or exit a position even late hours. Now the good thing about swing trading is that you can take it full time or part time. Swing trading with an eye on earning additional income or improving the returns on your portfolio is less stressful than swing trading for a living.
Part time swing trading means doing analysis when you get home from work! Then implementing trades the following day! You can enter stop loss orders to protect your capital even though you may not be able to watch the market all day. You should first go through this phase first if you eventually want full time swing trading.
Swing trading part time is suitable for those individuals who have a full time job but can devote a few hours a week to analyzing markets and securities or currencies. They have a passion for financial markets and short term trading. They are achieving subpar results in their current investment portfolios from their financial advisors or third party.
Part time swing trading is for you if you are not a gambler and dont take undue risks like doubling down your positions after a losing trade. Again swing trading is not for fun. You should also have the discipline to consistently place stop loss orders.
By swing trading instead of day trading, you are able to commit less capital to the markets to reach extraordinary gains. At the end of the day, when it comes down to is the fact that you need to determine your trading style before you become serious in trading.
Mail this postWhy Not Swing Trading? (Part I)
July 31, 2009 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Experts
Knowing what type of a trader you are, can make or break your investment career. Take the analogy of a football team. All players are talented and super fit. Everyone can throw and catch the ball. Everyone is a hard hitter. However some are more skilled as receivers. Others are more skilled as kickers. If the receiver is going to do the job of the kicker, not many field goal points will be made.
In general there are three type of trading styles: Position trading, swing trading and day trading. Investing in the currency markets or stock markets is also the same. It depends on your personality makeup what type of trading is best suited to you. You need to know what type of trading style is for you.
Position Trading is generally the buy and hold strategy of investing in stocks over a long haul. In currency trading, position trading means you are in a trade for many months. Usually positions traders are in a trade for a large long term move like when you carry trade. Options traders can also be position traders through covered calls.
Swing trading is possibly the most dynamic of the three types of trading as the swing trader is able to switch up holding times quickly as the market demands. Swing Trading means taking short term positions in anticipation of quick market movements over a series of days or weeks. Swing traders take advantage of technical and fundamental analysis.
In Day Trading, you attempt to capitalize on intraday movements with the markets often trading on momentum and news. Day traders are also known as Kings of Stress. Day trading is not easy and it is certainly not a hobby. Sometimes when the positions warrants holding for a longer period, day trading can become swing trading!
Day trading is the riskiest of the three trading styles. Day trading is ideal for those who are able to handle erratic market movements while actually also having time to monitor the positions throughout the day. You should note that if you dont have time to watch your trades every moment, you should not think of day trading.
You Should Know That Swing Trading Is a Better Alternative to Day Trading Day trading hardly ever ends up well! Only 10% of the day traders succeed. Many people are attracted to the glamour and excitement of day trading. Most day trader usually blow up their accounts and fade away soon especially if the trader has no previous professional trading experience.
Swing trading can be on the other hand a much more effective trading style especially if you are a newer trader. By holding positions overnight and even for a few weeks, you can expose less money for larger moves. If you are a new trader, think about it for a moment.
Mail this postIRS Eases Investment Rules for 529 College Savings Plans
July 4, 2009 by Doeren Mayhew
Filed under Experts
Saving for college is always tough and is even more so during the current economic downturn. One of the most popular educational savings plans are so called “529 plans.” The IRS has announced that participants in 529 plans will now be able to change their investments more often in 2009 than in past years. The IRS will now allow a change in investment strategy twice in 2009. This is good news for 529 plan participants, especially those who may otherwise be locked into an investment mix that has turned out to be more speculative than initially contemplated.
Tax-Free Distributions A 529 plan is a type of qualified tuition program. In a 529 plan, taxpayers contribute to an account established for paying a student’s educational expenses. Eligible educational expenses include the costs of tuition, books, and fees at eligible institutions, such as colleges, vocational schools, and other ostsecondary institutions.
Contributions to 529 plans are not tax-deductible. However, earnings are tax-free, and distributions used to pay the beneficiary’s qualified education xpenses are tax-free.
A 529 plan should not be confused with a Coverdell Educational Savings Account (Coverdell ESA). The latter is also a savings account for education expenses that offers tax-free distributions. Funds saved in a Coverdell ESA can be used for elementary and secondary school expenses as well as college costs.
Investment Choices Generally, participants in 529 plans must select only from among broadbased investment strategies designed exclusively for the program. Now, the IRS has traditionally permitted a change in investment strategy only once a year.
In response to the economic slowdown and the turmoil in the financial markets, the IRS will allow investments in a 529 plan to be changed during 2009 on a more regular basis. A 529 plan will not violate the investment restriction if it permits a change in the investment strategy more than once in calendar year 2009, as well as upon a change in the designated beneficiary of the account.
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